By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Want to Read. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Step 3. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Why? Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Please pass this post along. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Same to all of us. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Step 1. dr ali binazir odds of being born. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. Those who are brave (foolish?) So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Its maddening to see people worry so much. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. But let's think about this some more. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. I would call that a personal relationship with God. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Hello there! dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. And worry and fear? The chances that they would then get knocked up? Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. Yet here we are. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). You get the volume of planet Earth. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. That's 150,000 generations. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. On one try. Step 1. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. Do you know the odds of being alive? One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. But on all probability it would. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. I think that was exactly Msgr. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? That's a pretty straightforward calculation. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. Me neither. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. But lets make it longer. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Step 3. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . Are they gross exaggerations? Your email address will not be published. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Which one's bigger? Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. That's 150,000 generations. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Are they gross exaggerations? So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. On one try.. Something was dropped and then picked up. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Were all winners in life without doing anything! By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Are they gross exaggerations? The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. June 24, 2022 . So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Then the probability of Mr. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. Or stalk me (with love.). An unimaginably long time. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. Then the probability of Mr. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. Step 1. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. So far, so good. Wowser. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. On one try. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Why? The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. They agree to within a factor of two! Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Step 2. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Onward to freedom! 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. Maybe that one would have been better. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. I hope you use your chance well. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. dr ali binazir odds of being born. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. Are You a Miracle? Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm.